explain this---**Title:**
POISSON DISTRIBUTION
**Chart/Diagram Description:**
* **Type:** This is a line chart representing the probability mass function (PMF) of the Poisson distribution for different values of the parameter lambda (λ).
* **Main Elements:**
* **Coordinate Axes:**
* The horizontal X-axis is labeled 'x'.
* The vertical Y-axis is labeled 'f(x)'.
* **Curves:** There are three distinct curves, each representing the Poisson distribution for a specific lambda (λ) value:
* A red curve: Peaked sharply near x=0, rapidly decreasing as x increases.
* A blue curve: Broader than the red curve, with its peak shifted to the right compared to the red curve.
* A green curve: Even broader and flatter than the blue curve, with its peak further shifted to the right compared to the blue curve.
* **Legend:** The curves are associated with lambda values by color:
* Red curve: λ = 1
* Blue curve: λ = 4
* Green curve: λ = 10
* **Trends:** As the value of λ increases, the distribution shifts to the right (higher mean), becomes less skewed (more symmetric), and its peak becomes lower and broader, indicating a wider spread of probable values.
**Mathematical Formulas:**
* **Variance/Mean Relationship:**
σ² = λ = np
* **Probability Mass Function (PMF) f(x):**
f(x) = (λ^x * e^-λ) / x!
* **Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) F(x_j):**
F(x_j) = Σ (from k ≤ j) (λ^xk * e^-λ) / xk
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The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space. It's commonly used to model rare events such as phone calls received per hour, emails per day, accidents per month, or stars in a region of the sky. This distribution is particularly useful when we know the average rate of occurrence but the exact timing of individual events is random.
The mathematical foundation of the Poisson distribution is built on the probability mass function: f of x equals lambda to the power x times e to the negative lambda, divided by x factorial. Here, lambda is the average rate parameter representing the expected number of events. x is the number of events we're calculating the probability for. e is Euler's number, approximately 2.718. x factorial is the product of all positive integers up to x. A key property is that lambda represents both the mean and variance of the distribution.
The Poisson distribution is a fundamental probability distribution used to model the number of events occurring in fixed intervals of time or space. It's particularly useful for modeling rare events, such as phone calls to a call center, earthquakes in a region, or defects in manufacturing.
The mathematical foundation of the Poisson distribution centers on its probability mass function, which gives the probability of exactly x events occurring. The formula involves lambda raised to the power x, multiplied by e to the negative lambda, divided by x factorial. A key property is that both the mean and variance equal lambda, making it a single-parameter distribution.
Let's visualize the Poisson distribution with lambda equals 1. Using the probability mass function, we calculate specific probabilities: f of 0 equals 0.368, f of 1 also equals 0.368, f of 2 equals 0.184, and f of 3 equals 0.061. When we plot these points on a coordinate system, we get the characteristic red curve that peaks near x equals 0 and rapidly decreases as x increases.
Comparing different lambda values reveals the distribution's behavior. With lambda equals 1, shown in red, the distribution peaks sharply near zero and decreases rapidly. With lambda equals 4, the blue curve shifts right and becomes broader. With lambda equals 10, the green curve shifts even further right, becomes more symmetric, and has a lower, broader peak. This demonstrates how increasing lambda shifts the distribution to higher values and makes it more spread out.
Now let's compare multiple parameter values simultaneously. The same probability mass function applies to all cases, but with different lambda values. When lambda equals 1, shown in red, the distribution peaks sharply at zero. With lambda equals 4, the blue curve shifts right and becomes broader. With lambda equals 10, the green curve shifts even further right, has a lower peak, and approaches a more symmetric shape. This demonstrates the key effects of increasing lambda: rightward shift, increased spread, decreased peak height, and greater symmetry.
Let's apply the Poisson distribution to a practical example. A call center receives an average of 4 calls per hour. To find the probability of exactly 2 calls, we use lambda equals 4 and x equals 2. The calculation gives us f of 2 equals 16 times e to the negative 4, divided by 2 factorial, which equals 0.147 or 14.7 percent. This point is highlighted in red on our distribution curve. The Poisson distribution is widely used in customer service, manufacturing quality control, network analysis, and scientific research.