"用通俗易懂的语言讲清楚什么是""Interest rate interpretation“,画面简洁直观,内容居中放大,可以加入一些动画效果,把画面填充完整,不要留大量空白,对于重点内容要用亮色强调,注意内容不要有排版上的重叠!!! 以下是一些内容参考:""1 - Quantitative Methods*: --- ### Interest Rates and Time Value of Money **interpret interest rates as required rates of return, discount rates, or opportunity costs and explain an interest rate as the sum of a real risk-free rate and premiums that compensate investors for bearing distinct types of risk** The time value of money establishes the equivalence between cash flows occurring on different dates. As cash received today is preferred to cash promised in the future, we must establish a consistent basis for this trade-off to compare financial instruments in cases in which cash is paid or received at different times. An interest rate (or yield), denoted *r*, is a rate of return that reflects the relationship between differently dated – timed – cash flows. If USD 9,500 today and USD 10,000 in one year are equivalent in value, then USD 10,000 – USD 9,500 = USD 500 is the required compensation for receiving USD 10,000 in one year rather than now. The interest rate (i.e., the required compensation stated as a rate of return) is USD 500/USD 9,500 = 0.0526 or 5.26 percent. Interest rates can be thought of in three ways: * **Required rate of return**—that is, the minimum rate of return an investor must receive to accept an investment. * **Discount rate**—the rate at which USD 10,000 in one year is equivalent to USD 9,500 today. Thus, we use the terms “interest rate” and “discount rate” almost interchangeably. * **Opportunity cost**—the value that investors forgo by choosing a course of action. For example, if the party who supplied USD 9,500 had instead decided to spend it today, he would have forgone earning 5.26 percent by consuming rather than saving. --- ### Determinants of Interest Rates Economics tells us that interest rates are set by the forces of supply and demand, where investors supply funds and borrowers demand their use. Taking the perspective of investors in analyzing market-determined interest rates, we can view an interest rate *r* as being composed of a real risk-free interest rate plus a set of premiums that are required returns or compensation for bearing distinct types of risk: $$ r = \text{Real risk-free interest rate} + \text{Inflation premium} + \text{Default risk premium} + \text{Liquidity premium} + \text{Maturity premium} $$ * **Real risk-free interest rate** is the single-period interest rate for a completely risk-free security if no inflation were expected. In economic theory, it reflects the time preferences of individuals for current versus future real consumption. * **Inflation premium** compensates investors for expected inflation and reflects the average inflation rate expected over the maturity of the debt. * **Default risk premium** compensates investors for the possibility that the borrower will fail to make a promised payment at the contracted time and in the contracted amount. * **Liquidity premium** compensates investors for the risk of loss relative to an investment’s fair value if the investment needs to be converted to cash quickly. * **Maturity premium** compensates investors for the increased sensitivity of the market value of debt to a change in market interest rates as maturity is extended. The sum of the real risk-free interest rate and the inflation premium is the **nominal risk-free interest rate**, approximated as: $$ \text{Nominal risk-free rate} \approx \text{Real risk-free rate} + \text{Inflation premium} $$ Many countries have short-term government debt whose interest rate can be considered to represent the nominal risk-free interest rate over that time horizon. For example, the interest rate on a 90-day US T-bill represents the nominal risk-free interest rate for the United States over the next three months. --- ### Example 1: Determining Interest Rates **Exhibit 1** presents selected information for five debt securities. All five investments promise only a single payment at maturity. Assume that premiums relating to inflation, liquidity, and default risk are constant across all time horizons. | Investment | Maturity (Years) | Liquidity | Default Risk | Interest Rate (%) | | ---------- | ---------------- | --------- | ------------ | ----------------- | | 1 | 2 | High | Low | 2.0 | | 2 | 2 | Low | Low | 2.5 | | 3 | 7 | Low | Low | r₃ (unknown) | | 4 | 8 | High | Low | 4.0 | | 5 | 8 | Low | High | 6.5 | **1. Difference between Investment 1 and Investment 2:** Investment 2 is identical to Investment 1 except for liquidity. The difference of 0.5% represents the **liquidity premium**. **2. Estimate the default risk premium:** Investments 4 and 5 have the same maturity. The difference in interest rates is 2.5%, but 0.5% is due to liquidity, so **default risk premium = 2.0%**. **3. Estimate bounds for r₃:** * r₃ > 2.5% (due to longer maturity compared to Investment 2) * r₃ < 4.5% (if low liquidity adds 0.5% to Investment 4's 4.0%) * Therefore, **2.5% < r₃ < 4.5%** """

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