eal-World Application: Stock Prices (Finance)
Let’s say you want to model the price of a stock, like Apple or Tesla.
Denote
𝑋
𝑡
X
t
: the price of the stock at time
𝑡
t.
The price isn’t fixed—it’s affected by random factors (news, investor behavior, etc).
So, we model
𝑋
𝑡
X
t
as a random variable, and the full set
{
𝑋
𝑡
,
𝑡
≥
0
}
{X
t
,t≥0} as a stochastic process.
In this case:
We might use Brownian motion or Geometric Brownian motion as mathematical models of the process.
These models help in pricing options, risk management, and algorithmic trading.
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Welcome to stock price modeling using stochastic processes. Stock prices are inherently unpredictable, influenced by random factors like market news, investor sentiment, and economic events. We represent the stock price at time t as X sub t, and model the entire price evolution as a stochastic process.